Welcome to Collective2

Follow these tips for a better experience

Ok, let's start

Close
Add to Watch List Create new Watch List
Add
Enter a name for your Watch List.
Watch List name must be less than 60 characters.
You have reached the maximum number of custom Watch Lists.
You have reached the maximum number of strategies in this Watch List.
Strategy added to Watch List. Go to Watch List

Sim is unavailable for this strategy, because you've recently "Simmed" it.

You already have a live, full-featured subscription to this strategy.

Okay, no problem

Reach out to us when you are ready. You can schedule your free training session at any time by clicking the button.

Remember, this training is free, low pressure, and (we hope!) fun.

Got it

Later

You can find it here.

Got it

Video Saved for Later

You can watch this video later. Just click this button at the top of the screen whenever you're ready to watch it.

Got it

MORE Capital

Stocks · Started May 2011

hypothetical · Annual Return (Compounded)
10.4%
Max Drawdown
53.2%
Trades
1268
Win Trades
56.2%
Profit Factor
1.40
Win Months
20.5%

About this strategy

MOREcapital: DO NOT SUBSCRIBE-NOT ACTIVELY MANAGED

MORE trades intraday as well as overnight using the same system as jkStocks but on different time frames. Since multiple time frames are used it may close out half of a position or enter the same direction more than once. It is only allowed to trade two time frames at once though it monitors four time frames and may use a third one to close out and stay flat until a new entry is generated.

The price bars are modified with other components and trades are generated from the new bars as certain patterns show up. The modified bars tend to provide early indications of turns.

The new chart is compared with the price chart and, combined with trends of the two charts as well as the standard deviation. Patterns show up indicating turning points and profit/loss exits. A standard disaster stop is used though it is seldom hit since the strategy will usually reverse itself first.

Trades ETF's.

Note: This system is not suitable for U.S. IRA accounts or accounts that are not approved for day trades.

Hypothetical Monthly Returns (includes fees/commissions)

YearJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecYTD
2011-2.82.01.1-15.855.717.042.62.7124.9
201212.322.04.9-0.4-8.5-5.47.9-4.50.2-8.7-5.3-4.35.8
20132.1-4.34.3-1.85.1-6.9-5.0-5.4-1.44.014.011.614.8
2014-9.517.05.5-14.1-0.729.84.40.63.95.23.6-2.044.2
20155.11.3-5.94.2-6.3-4.9-10.4-1.30.00.40.00.0-17.5
20160.00.00.00.00.00.00.0-26.30.00.00.00.0-26.3
20170.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20180.08.3-3.4-1.5-8.4-1.49.212.75.70.00.0-2.218.5
201917.34.48.112.9-0.19.6-1.40.00.00.00.00.061.5
20200.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20210.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20220.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20230.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20240.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20250.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0
20260.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.00.0

Statistics

Overview

Strategy began5/14/2011
Suggested Minimum Capital$10,000
Age187 months
What it tradesStocks
# Trades1268
# Profitable713
% Profitable56.2%
Avg trade duration2.3 days
Max peak-to-valley drawdown53.2%
drawdown periodDec 11, 2014 - June 28, 2018
Annual Return (Compounded)10.4%
Avg win$267
Avg loss$242

Ratios

W:L ratio1.42
Sharpe Ratio0.41
Sortino Ratio0.66
Calmar Ratio1.01

CORRELATION STATISTICS

Correlation to SP5000.09
Return Percent SP500 (cumu) during strategy life470.7%
Return of Strat Pcnt - Return of SP500 Pcnt (cumu)-116.1%

Return Statistics

Ann Return (w trading costs)10.4%
Return Pcnt (Compound or Annual, age-based, NFA compliant)0.1%
Return Pcnt Since TOS Status0.0%
Ann Return (Compnd, No Fees)13.1%

Slump

Current Slump as Pcnt Equity3.0%
Current Slump, time of slump as pcnt of strategy life0.5%

Instruments

Percent Trades Forex0.0%
Percent Trades Futures0.1%
Percent Trades Options0.0%
Short Options - Percent Covered100.0%
Percent Trades Stocks0.8%

Risk of Ruin (Monte-Carlo)

Chance of 10% account loss30.0%
Chance of 20% account loss20.0%
Chance of 30% account loss3.0%
Chance of 40% account loss2.5%
Chance of 50% account loss0.0%
Chance of 60% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 70% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 80% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 90% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%
Chance of 100% account loss (Monte Carlo)0.0%

Automation

Percentage Signals Automated14.4%

Popularity

Popularity (Today)0
Popularity (Last 6 weeks)0
Popularity (7 days, Percentile 1000 scale)0

Trading Style

Any stock shorts? 0/11

Trades-Own-System Certification

Trades Own System?0
TOS percent0.0%

Win / Loss

Avg Loss$242
Avg Win$267
# Winners713
Sum Trade PL (losers)$134,567
Sum Trade PL (winners)$190,330
Num Months Winners38
# Losers555
% Winners56.2%

Dividends

Dividends Received in Model Acct578

Age

Num Months filled monthly returns table185

Frequency

Avg Position Time (mins)3303.93
Avg Position Time (hrs)55.07
Avg Trade Length2.30
Last Trade Ago2602

Leverage

Daily leverage (average)2.80
Daily leverage (max)29.22

Regression

Alpha0.02
Beta0.12
Treynor Index0.23

Maximum Adverse Excursion (MAE)

MAE:Equity, average, all trades0.01
MAE:Equity, 95th Percentile Value for this strat0
MAE:Equity, average, losing trades0.02
MAE:Equity, losing trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
MAE:Equity, average, winning trades0.01
MAE:Equity, win trades only, 95th Percentile Value for this strat
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - All trades8.21
MAE:PL (avg, all trades)-0.36
MAE:PL (avg, losing trades)
MAE:PL - Losing Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats64.15
MAE:PL - Winning Trades - this strat Percentile of All Strats50.77
MAE:PL (avg, winning trades)
MAE:PL - worst single value for strategy
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Winning trades0.96
Avg(MAE) / Avg(PL) - Losing trades-1.87
Hold-and-Hope Ratio0.12

RATIO STATISTICS

Mean0.29
SD0.38
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.78
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.77
df86
t2.10
p0.02
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.51
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.03
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.51
Sortino ratio2.07
Upside Potential Ratio3.43
Upside part of mean0.48
Downside part of mean-0.19
Upside SD0.36
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms39
N negative terms48
N of observations87
Mean of predictor0.23
Mean of criterion0.29
SD of predictor0.27
SD of criterion0.38
Covariance0.01
r0.11
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.15
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.26
Mean Square Error0.14
DF error85
t(b)1.01
p(b)0.16
t(a)1.79
p(a)0.04
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.15
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.45
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.54
Treynor index (mean / b)1.96
Jensen alpha (a)0.26
Mean0.23
SD0.33
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.70
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.70
df86
t1.89
p0.03
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio-0.04
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.44
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-0.04
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.43
Sortino ratio1.48
Upside Potential Ratio2.77
Upside part of mean0.43
Downside part of mean-0.20
Upside SD0.30
Downside SD0.16
N nonnegative terms39
N negative terms48
N of observations87
Mean of predictor0.20
Mean of criterion0.23
SD of predictor0.25
SD of criterion0.33
Covariance0.01
r0.16
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.21
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.19
Mean Square Error0.11
DF error85
t(b)1.47
p(b)0.07
t(a)1.53
p(a)0.07
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta-0.07
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.49
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.44
Treynor index (mean / b)1.12
Jensen alpha (a)0.19
VaR(95%)0.13
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.16
VaR(95%)0.04
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.08
Mean0.26
SD0.25
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)1.06
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)1.06
df1908
t2.86
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.33
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.79
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.33
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.79
Sortino ratio1.83
Upside Potential Ratio7.10
Upside part of mean1.01
Downside part of mean-0.75
Upside SD0.20
Downside SD0.14
N nonnegative terms737
N negative terms1172
N of observations1909
Mean of predictor0.24
Mean of criterion0.26
SD of predictor0.22
SD of criterion0.25
Covariance0.01
r0.09
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.10
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.23
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error1907
t(b)4.06
p(b)0.44
t(a)2.60
p(a)0.46
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.06
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.41
Treynor index (mean / b)2.57
Jensen alpha (a)0.24
Mean0.23
SD0.24
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0.96
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0.96
df1908
t2.59
p0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0.23
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio1.69
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0.23
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation1.69
Sortino ratio1.58
Upside Potential Ratio6.78
Upside part of mean0.99
Downside part of mean-0.76
Upside SD0.19
Downside SD0.15
N nonnegative terms737
N negative terms1172
N of observations1909
Mean of predictor0.21
Mean of criterion0.23
SD of predictor0.23
SD of criterion0.24
Covariance0.01
r0.10
b (slope, estimate of beta)0.10
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0.21
Mean Square Error0.06
DF error1907
t(b)4.22
p(b)0.44
t(a)2.35
p(a)0.47
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.05
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0.15
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0.38
Treynor index (mean / b)2.25
Jensen alpha (a)0.21
VaR(95%)0.02
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.03
VaR(95%)0.01
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.02
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)0
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)0
df0
t0
p0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation0
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.16
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.47
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)0
Mean Square Error0
DF error0
t(b)0
p(b)0
t(a)0
p(a)0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha0
Treynor index (mean / b)0
Jensen alpha (a)0
Mean-0.03
SD0
Sharpe ratio (Glass type estimate)-9.74841826823373e+15
Sharpe ratio (Hedges UMVUE)-9.69206937105203e+15
df130
t-6893172865105920
p1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for Sharpe Ratio0
Lowerbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-1.08701574255084e+16
Upperbound of 95% CI (Gibbons, Hedeker & Davis approximation-8513981316595712
Sortino ratio-16.19
Upside Potential Ratio0
Upside part of mean0
Downside part of mean-0.03
Upside SD0
Downside SD0.00
N nonnegative terms0
N negative terms131
N of observations131
Mean of predictor1.05
Mean of criterion-0.03
SD of predictor0.46
SD of criterion0
Covariance0
r0
b (slope, estimate of beta)0
a (intercept, estimate of alpha)-0.03
Mean Square Error0
DF error129
t(b)0
p(b)0.50
t(a)-6799406212841472
p(a)1
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
VAR (95 Confidence Intrvl)0.02
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for beta0
Lowerbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Upperbound of 95% confidence interval for alpha-0.03
Treynor index (mean / b)-1.37140931833346e+32
Jensen alpha (a)-0.03
VaR(95%)0.00
Expected Shortfall on VaR0.00
VaR(95%)0
Expected Shortfall on VaR0

ORDER STATISTICS

Number of observations87
Minimum0.74
Quartile 10.99
Median1
Quartile 31.04
Maximum1.67
Mean of quarter 10.94
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.02
Mean of quarter 41.14
Inter Quartile Range0.05
Number outliers low2
Percentage of outliers low0.02
Mean of outliers low0.79
Number of outliers high9
Percentage of outliers high0.10
Mean of outliers high1.26
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-0.12
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.04
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.05
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.35
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.06
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.11
Number of observations1909
Minimum0.90
Quartile 11.00
Median1
Quartile 31.00
Maximum1.21
Mean of quarter 10.99
Mean of quarter 21.00
Mean of quarter 31.00
Mean of quarter 41.01
Inter Quartile Range0.00
Number outliers low216
Percentage of outliers low0.11
Mean of outliers low0.98
Number of outliers high205
Percentage of outliers high0.11
Mean of outliers high1.03
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.57
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.02
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0.29
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.01
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.02
Number of observations131
Minimum1
Quartile 11
Median1
Quartile 31
Maximum1
Mean of quarter 11
Mean of quarter 21
Mean of quarter 31
Mean of quarter 41
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0

DRAW DOWN STATISTICS

Number of observations9
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.02
Median0.04
Quartile 30.18
Maximum0.26
Mean of quarter 10.01
Mean of quarter 20.04
Mean of quarter 30.14
Mean of quarter 40.26
Inter Quartile Range0.16
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)-78.37
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.24
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-3.25
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.34
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.34
Number of observations57
Minimum0.00
Quartile 10.00
Median0.01
Quartile 30.04
Maximum0.29
Mean of quarter 10.00
Mean of quarter 20.00
Mean of quarter 30.02
Mean of quarter 40.13
Inter Quartile Range0.03
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high7
Percentage of outliers high0.12
Mean of outliers high0.19
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0.29
VaR(95%) (moments method)0.11
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0.20
Extreme Value Index (regression method)-0.10
VaR(95%) (regression method)0.14
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0.19
Number of observations0
Minimum0
Quartile 10
Median0
Quartile 30
Maximum0
Mean of quarter 10
Mean of quarter 20
Mean of quarter 30
Mean of quarter 40
Inter Quartile Range0
Number outliers low0
Percentage of outliers low0
Mean of outliers low0
Number of outliers high0
Percentage of outliers high0
Mean of outliers high0
Extreme Value Index (moments method)0
VaR(95%) (moments method)0
Expected Shortfall (moments method)0
Extreme Value Index (regression method)0
VaR(95%) (regression method)0
Expected Shortfall (regression method)0
Strat Max DD how much worse than SP500 max DD during strat life?-434339232
Max Equity Drawdown (num days)1295
Last 4 Months - Pcnt Negative0.0%

COMBINED STATISTICS

Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.77
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.30
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.12
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs1.16
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal1.83
j156mfCOMBRisPar0
j157mfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0.76
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0.29
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)1.01
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs2.34
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal10.06
j313dfCOMBRisPar0
j314dfCOMBRisPar0
Annualized return (arithmetic extrapolation)0
Compounded annual return (geometric extrapolation)0
Calmar ratio (compounded annual return / max draw down)0
Compounded annual return / average of 25% largest draw downs0
Compounded annual return / Expected Shortfall lognormal0

Trading record

Placed 758 trades in real-life brokerage accounts.

SymbolSideQtyOpenedClosedP/L
FXE long56Jul 23, 2019Jul 25, 2019($4)
TNA long201Jul 16, 2019Jul 23, 2019($412)
SPXL long227Jul 16, 2019Jul 23, 2019($316)
SQQQ long460Jul 11, 2019Jul 16, 2019($460)
QLD long102Jul 8, 2019Jul 11, 2019$358
TMV long500Jul 9, 2019Jul 10, 2019$50
UDOW long141Jul 8, 2019Jul 10, 2019$200
TQQQ long388Jul 5, 2019Jul 8, 2019($509)
TNA long450Jun 28, 2019Jul 1, 2019$1,003
TQQQ long388Jun 27, 2019Jun 27, 2019($124)
SQQQ long545Jun 26, 2019Jun 27, 2019($251)
SPXS long625Jun 26, 2019Jun 27, 2019$58
SPXL long412Jun 25, 2019Jun 25, 2019($284)
SPXL long412Jun 7, 2019Jun 21, 2019$1,615
TQQQ long260Jun 12, 2019Jun 20, 2019$1,175
TNA long450Jun 12, 2019Jun 20, 2019$2,177
SPXS long625Jun 17, 2019Jun 17, 2019$58
TQQQ long320Jun 7, 2019Jun 12, 2019$800
SQQQ long340Jun 6, 2019Jun 7, 2019($806)
SPXL short206Jun 5, 2019Jun 7, 2019($499)
TQQQ long320Jun 7, 2019Jun 7, 2019$4
TQQQ long220May 31, 2019Jun 3, 2019($481)
SPXL long500May 17, 2019Jun 3, 2019($850)
TQQQ short421May 28, 2019May 30, 2019$940
TQQQ long421May 28, 2019May 28, 2019($155)
TQQQ long430May 23, 2019May 28, 2019$53
TQQQ long230May 22, 2019May 22, 2019$76
TNA long300May 14, 2019May 16, 2019$603
TQQQ long451May 8, 2019May 8, 2019$108
TNA long300May 8, 2019May 8, 2019$159

Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results.

These results are based on simulated or hypothetical performance results that have certain inherent limitations. Unlike the results shown in an actual performance record, these results do not represent actual trading. Also, because these trades have not actually been executed, these results may have under-or over-compensated for the impact, if any, of certain market factors, such as lack of liquidity. Simulated or hypothetical trading programs in general are also subject to the fact that they are designed with the benefit of hindsight. No representation is being made that any account will or is likely to achieve profits or losses similar to these being shown.